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Investigating Increased Coastal Flood Risk in Wales

Newgale West Wales

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Photo from County News March 2014 by Western Telegraph

With partners, write headlines to go with this photograph; write headlines from the points of view of:

A Bus Passenger

A Villager

The Welsh Government

The Increasing Risk Of Coastal Flooding In Wales

In January 2014 there were many incidents of coastal flooding around Wales. Parts of Wales had already been hit by storms during the previous December and some locations were to be hit again in February as is shown in this photograph from Newgale In Pembrokeshire.

Related links

Around Wales

  • December 2013 brought storms and flooding to many parts of the coastline of North Wales
  • This was followed storms in January 2014 which caused damage around the entire coastline of Wales. There was near destruction of the sea front, road and buildings in Aberystwyth and similar scenes of destruction were seen in Porthcawl.

Welsh Government Action

  • Immediately the Welsh Government ordered two reports into the events.
  • The first report was on what happened and the second report was about important lessons that we needed to learn here in Wales as a result.

We are going to investigate the main findings of the first report. 

The first report tells us why our coastlines are so important in Wales: 

  • Around 60% (1.9million) of the population of Wales live on, or near to the coast. 
  • The coasts support an estimated 93,000 jobs, with visits to the coast accounting for over 40% of overnight stays in Wales. 
  • An estimated 415km of man-made sea defence structures exist to protect over £8billion of assets from coastal erosion and tidal flooding. 
  • Replacing these structures would cost about £750million.

What Did we Learn?

Storm Severity 

In December 2013 a big storm hit North Wales. This created high sea levels and large waves that arrived with the high tide. This map from the report shows the locations of flood warnings and alerts along the North Wales coastline.

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During January 2014 a series of storms arrived from the Atlantic Ocean. These storms caused high sea levels and very large waves. These combined with high tides and caused a lot of problems along the south and west coasts.

This serious event lasted from the first high tide on the 3rd of January through to the 6th of January.

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  • The impacts of the December 2013 storm were just along the North Wales coastline. 
  • Around 155 properties experienced flooding, mainly in Rhyl with 136 and Kinmel Bay with 8. 
  • 400 properties were advised to evacuate in Rhyl, with over 200 people going to rest centres such as leisure centres.

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The impacts of the January 2014 storm were more widespread around the coastline of Wales; with approximately 100 communities affected from Anglesey through to Monmouthshire. 

  • Approximately 150 properties suffered flooding inside, including 21 in Cardigan, 12 in Aberystwyth in Ceredigion, 15 in Barmouth in Gwynedd and 13 in Fishguard in Pembrokeshire. 
  • A further 415 properties were less affected by flooding and 850 properties were protected by the use of temporary property protection products and sandbags.
  • In Ceredigion over 600 properties were advised to evacuate from Borth, Aberystwyth and Cardigan.
  • In Newport 450 properties were advised to evacuate.

Properties Flooded

Cardigan

21

Aberystwyth

12

Barmouth

15

Fishguard

13

The worst affected places were:

  • Rhyl in December 2013.
  • Llanbedr in January 2014.

Damage to Sea Defences

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  • In many ways Wales was lucky in that the January storms did not hit the same section of coastline as the December storms. 
  • This is because there was a very large amount of damage to the sea defences by both events. Two direct hits at high tide would probably have caused much greater impacts.

The report also points out that in addition to flood risk; the Welsh coast is also exposed to erosion risks.

The coastal areas are affected by powerful forces and are constantly changing; even sections of the coastline made up of hard solid rock are undergoing erosion. 

Some of this erosion can happen slowly, but some can happen quickly, such as a rock fall that happened at Porthkerry Leisure Park, near Barry.

Student Activity

Investigation

First try to read the rest of the linked resources and use the student resource sheet to help you carry out an investigation into the coastal flood risks exposed by the storms of late 2013 and early 2014. Use it to formulate questions which you can follow up after the edition of Geography In The News.

Introduction

  • In this section you will explain what it is that you are investigating.
  • You will choose questions for enquiry that you want to answer.
  • You will explain important background information.
  • Outline a plan of what you intend to do and what data you will collect or use. You do not need to visit the coastline but you could ask questions in a questionnaire about what people remember about the storms or if they have visited a location. You can also use GIS (Geographical Information Systems) to gather information; a good GIS is Google maps especially with the ‘zoomable’ satellite views, aerial photographs and in some places even street views of locations.

Results

  • Use maps from the articles
  • Use photographs from GIS
  • Tabulate (put in tables) data.
  • Convert the data into easier forms to interpret:
    • Use graphs.
    • Simplify data into things like rounded numbers or a representative mean.

Analysis

  • Show how your results answer your questions for enquiry:
    • Annotate graphs, photographs, maps and diagrams.
    • Construct paragraphs.

Conclusions

    • For each of your enquiry questions what have you found out? What is the answer?

Methodology

  • Often the Methodology follows the Introduction as you explain what you plan to do. In this investigation we are going to place the Methodology before the Evaluation so that we can better develop our evaluative skills for the future.
  • You will explain how you gathered your data and justify your choices.
  • You will explain how you represented your data and justify your choices.

Evaluation

  • Evaluate your process (how you carried out your investigations (methods)) – what was successful? What went wrong? What could you do differently next time?
  • Evaluate your sources – (your information and data) which are reliable and why? Which might be biased and why?
  • Evaluate your outcomes – (your conclusions) what is reliable and why? Which may be wrong or inaccurate and why?
  • Formulate more questions for a future enquiry based on your findings; this is especially important to find out for your decision making on coastlines in the next edition.
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